predictions

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FBI Raids NYC Home of Betting Firm's CEO

Shayne Coplan calls development 'discouraging' after Polymarket correctly predicted a Trump win

(Newser) - Polymarket, the betting market that drew attention by correctly predicting a win by Donald Trump in the 2024 election, is now earning new headlines for a stickier reason. The New York Post reports that early Wednesday, the FBI raided the Manhattan residence of CEO Shayne Coplan, with a source telling...

In the Betting World, a 'Mystery' Over Pro-Trump Wagers

Polymarket has seen a $30M 'wave' of Trump bets in recent days, from just 4 accounts

(Newser) - The self-proclaimed "world's largest prediction market" is going big on a Donald Trump win this election cycle, based on what the Wall Street Journal calls a "mystery $30 million wave of pro-Trump bets" that have proliferated in recent days. The paper reports that at the start of...

Hillary Clinton Has Some Debate Predictions
Hillary Clinton Has Some
Debate Predictions
OPINION
Jun 25, 2024 10:55 AM CDT

Hillary Clinton Has Some Debate Predictions

She expects 'bluster,' calls it a 'waste of time' to refute Trump arguments in normal debate fashion

(Newser) - Hillary Clinton is in a unique position to preview Thursday's presidential debate—as she points out in a New York Times essay, she's the only person who has debated both President Biden and former President Trump. Framed with a here's-what-I'll-be-watching-for premise, Clinton's op-ed is mainly...

Texas Is Going to Need a Lot More Power Soon

It will need to provide almost double by 2030, according to state utility's latest prediction

(Newser) - Texas has had its share of power grid woes, and it may soon have more issues to contend with. The Electric Reliability Council of Texas, or ERCOT, the state's main power grid operator, has issued an updated prediction on the state's future power needs, and it's a...

AI Can Predict How Drunk You Are
AI Can Predict How
Drunk You Are
NEW STUDY
Nov 19, 2023 4:55 PM CST

AI Can Predict How Drunk You Are

Researchers trained AI to measure intoxication based on people reciting tongue twisters

(Newser) - Start practicing your tongue twisters, because artificial intelligence might be judging your sobriety on how well you recite them soon. At least that's what some researchers suggest after conducting a study analyzing intoxication levels based on speech that had remarkable accuracy. The Guardian walks through the findings in their...

Researchers: This Is 'Smoking Gun' on an Exxon Cover-Up

Oil giant made eerily accurate predictions on climate change, then misled public, scientists say

(Newser) - Who needs Nostradamus when we've got Exxon? The Guardian reports that "a trove of internal documents and research papers" has long established that Exxon, now known as ExxonMobil, knew since the 1970s of the dangers of global warming, and that other oil companies acknowledged the same decades before...

Simpsons Fans, This Is the Job for You

Casino company will pay someone almost $7K to binge-watch the series

(Newser) - The Simpsons correctly predicted the election of President Donald Trump back in 2000 . You might say it was luck—except that the show has predicted other real-life events, including Disney's acquisition of 21st Century Fox holdings and Richard Branson's trip into space . That's to say nothing of...

Johnson's Role in Brexit Predicted 22 Years Ago

Too bad flying cars are still a ways off

(Newser) - We're nearly a fifth of the way into the 21st century with no flying cars in sight. That's one prediction for the year 2020 that's gone by the wayside. But other predictions—from Brexit to fitness trackers to self-driving cars—turned out to be right on the...

Pastor Who Predicted Pats Score Has Another Prediction

But Rev. Mark Tanner swears it's not divine intervention

(Newser) - A Maine pastor who publicly predicted the final score of Sunday night's AFC championship game isn't claiming divine intervention, the AP reports. But he's confident the New England Patriots will win the Super Bowl as well. The Rev. Mark Tanner asked his secretary Friday to post a...

An 'Ominous Flattening' Could Signal Recession by End of 2019

That's per nearly half of US CFOs in Duke/CFO Global Business Outlook survey

(Newser) - President Trump has been crowing over the past few weeks about the "best" and "greatest" economy "in the history of our country," as well as the "hottest jobs market on planet Earth," but the nation's top financial officers are less optimistic. Almost half...

Analysts: Sorry, but We May Have a Global Crisis This Year

Eurasia Group lays out a bunch of ways it might happen

(Newser) - Given that "the global order is unraveling" in "a world without leadership," Eurasia Group has some sorry news: "If we had to pick one year for a big unexpected crisis—the geopolitical equivalent of the 2008 financial meltdown—it feels like 2018." What kind of...

Financial Experts Make 5 Predictions for 2018
Financial Experts Make
5 Predictions for 2018
in case you missed it
Dec 23, 2017 8:52 AM CST

Financial Experts Make 5 Predictions for 2018

On everything from IPOs to the S&P 500

(Newser) - It's that time of year when financial experts are asked to dust off their crystal balls and tea leaves and offer up their predictions for the economy in 2018. At Yahoo Finance , David Nelson warns that the problem with these predictions is that experts tend to extrapolate, i.e....

10 Ways the World Will Change in 2018
Coming in 2018:
Plugged-In
Grandmas
Dec 22, 2017 11:51 AM CST

Coming in 2018: Plugged-In Grandmas

And 9 other predictions, in AI, health care, the economy, and more

(Newser) - At no time of year do more people whip out the "out with the old and in with the new" mantra than on Jan. 1, and LinkedIn has surveyed CEOs, economists, scholars, and "other bold thinkers" to see what changes they expect to see worldwide in 2018. These...

This Year's Oscars May Be Full of Milestones
An Upset for
Moonlight?
Oscar Preview
and Predictions
THE RUNDOWN
Feb 25, 2017 2:01 PM CST

An Upset for Moonlight? Oscar Preview and Predictions

Will 'Moonlight' upset 'La La Land'

(Newser) - The Academy Awards are on Sunday, and Slate notes it could be a history-making night at Hollywood's Dolby Theatre. In one development that might make some headway against previous "Oscars So White" backlash , 18 black performers and filmmakers are nominated this year, including Moonlight director Barry Jenkins (who...

Soothsayer Busted for Predicting President's Demise

Probably wasn't a good idea to say Maithripala Sirisena was going to die

(Newser) - An astrologer who made several predictions that Sri Lanka President Maithripala Sirisena would die has been arrested and released on bail, police said Wednesday, per the AP . Most Sri Lankans follow astrologers' advice, and the suspect, Vijitha Rohana Wijemuni, is a former navy sailor convicted of attempting to assassinate India'...

Hillary's Chances of Winning, per Nate Silver: 79%

Though he concedes 'there's a lot of football left to be played'

(Newser) - If you're looking for odds on what's going to happen in Election 2016, you can ask a Las Vegas bookie or Nate Silver. And according to what the FiveThirtyEight.com numbers whiz told George Stephanopoulos on Wednesday's Good Morning America , Hillary Clinton has an almost 80% chance...

Tech Predictions for 2013

 Tech Predictions for 2013 
walt mossberg
Jan 2, 2013 11:54 AM CST

Tech Predictions for 2013

Expect more tablets, smarter TVs

(Newser) - Veteran tech writer Walt Mossberg of the Wall Street Journal looks ahead to 2013 and thinks we'll be controlling more of our everyday devices (thermostats, appliances, etc.) wirelessly through apps. We're heading toward a world of "Internet-controlled everything." Other forecasts:
  • Tablets: The market is only
...

Shamans in Peru: Obama's Got It

But astrologers say Mercury Retrograde could make things messy

(Newser) - Forget the pundits and statisticians : To find out who's really going to win the election, some are turning to shamans and psychics. In Peru, shamans have called a winner: President Obama. They came to the conclusion after chewing coca leaves, drinking a hallucinogenic brew called ayahuasca, and putting flower...

Nate Silver: Obama's Shot at Winning: 91.6%
 Nate Silver: 
 Obama's Shot 
 at Winning: 91.6% 
PUNDIT ROUNDUP
Nov 6, 2012 7:44 AM CST

Nate Silver: Obama's Shot at Winning: 91.6%

Other pundits offer wide range of outcomes

(Newser) - It's Election Day—a day of reckoning not only for the candidates, but for America's pundits, including one recent lightning rod named Nate Silver. Silver's final prediction: President Obama has a 91.6% shot at winning, to Romney's 8.4%, though he emphasizes he expects a...

Romney Win a Sure Thing: Election Model

Model based on economy would have correctly predicted last 8 elections

(Newser) - Forget polls. If you want to know who's going to win in November, it's the economy, stupid. A new prediction model based on state-by-state economic data predicts that Mitt Romney will prevail with 320 electoral votes, snapping up nearly all of the key swing states, to President Obama'...

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